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Nicolas Jarry vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Jarry vs Arnaldi analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Nicolas Jarry vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Jarry 3 - 0 Arnaldi

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Jarry has won 51.31% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 51.56%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Jarry, in recent form, has won 48.4% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 49.31%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.87% and 31.48% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Jarry has saved 65.22% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Jarry has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 35/ 25), with Arnaldi winning 65.71% (W/L 46/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Jarry has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 296/ 159), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 9/ 18). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 124/ 60), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 12/ 19).
  • Player level: In the last year, Jarry has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.33% of matches (W/L 14/ 10), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 59.26% of matches (W/L 16/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Jarry winning 3 times and Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Jarry winning 6 and Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Jarry and Arnaldi was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 11-05-2024, Second, Clay with Nicolas Jarry getting the victory 6-2 7-6(6).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:50:59.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Jarry and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 2 times, with Jarry winning 2 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 5 tiebreaks against each other with Jarry winning 3, and Arnaldi 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Jarry has played against opponents with an average rank of 132.62 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 179.6.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Jarry has won 58% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 53% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Jarry has converted 34.02% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 37.26% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Nicolas Jarry

14

Total

0

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

6

Minor

19

Rank

16

High

28

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

35

Rank

35

High

23

Age

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

6

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

2

Minor

3

Total

0

2

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L W W W W W L L

Form

L W L W L W L W W W

60% (392-258)

Career Total W/L

64% (206-118)

55% (16-13)

YTD W/L

59% (19-13)

$3,156,540

Career Prize Money

$1,637,595

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Jarry VS Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Nicolas Jarry Matteo Arnaldi
All H2H Matches 3 0
Sets Won 6 2
Games Won 51 41
Aces (Total) 26 29
DFs (Total) 7 15
Avg Match Time 2:50:59 2:50:59
1st Serve % 66% (202/304) 59% (181/307)
1st Serve Win% 76% (153/202) 73% (133/181)
2nd Serve Win% 49% (50/102) 46% (58/126)
BPs Won% (Total) 34% (10/29) 30% (6/20)
Return Points W% 38% (116/307) 33% (101/304)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 60% (3/5) 40% (2/5)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 0% (1/0)

Jarry VS Arnaldi H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 7-6(6)
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
6-7(5) 7-6(7) 6-4
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
65% ( 81 of 124)
1st Serve %
61% ( 74 of 121)
9
Aces
17
3
Double Faults
5
77% ( 62 of 81)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 57 of 74)
44% ( 19 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
35% ( 43 of 124)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 43 of 121)
124
Total Points Won
121
6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
72% ( 78 of 108)
1st Serve %
61% ( 68 of 111)
12
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 57 of 78)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 48 of 68)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 36 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 41 of 111)
113
Total Points Won
106

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Nicolas Jarry Matteo Arnaldi
YTD W/L 55% (16/13) 59% (19/13)
Sets Win/Loss 51% (38/37) 59% (48/34)
Games Win/Loss 50% (388/382) 52% (422/392)
Hard Win/Loss 58% (7/5) 56% (10/8)
Clay Win/Loss 53% (9/8) 64% (9/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.63 0.57
Aces Total 239 228
DFs per game 0.15 0.23
DFs Total 57 93
Avg Match Time 2:18:30 2:8:25
Avg Opp Rank 154.76 192.72
1st Serve % 64% (1526/2401) 57% (1512/2664)
1st Serve W% 74% (1132/1526) 71% (1077/1512)
2nd Serve W% 51% (449/875) 52% (594/1152)
BPs Won% Total 34% (66/194) 37% (98/263)
Return Pts W% 35% (878/2482) 38% (1013/2646)
Slam W/L 0% (0/2) 80% (4/1)
Masters W/L 62% (8/5) 55% (6/5)
Cups W/L 50% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 58% (7/5) 57% (8/6)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 58% (15/26) 54% (14/26)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 80% (4/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (8/16) 64% (9/14)
Deciding Set W% 64% (9/14) 43% (6/14)
1st set W, W 92% (12/11) 78% (18/14)
1st set W, L 8% (12/1) 22% (18/4)
1st set L, W 24% (17/4) 31% (13/4)

Nicolas Jarry Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Nicolas Jarry
67% ( 64 of 96)
1st Serve %
68% ( 75 of 110)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 49 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 45 of 75)
50% ( 16 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
37% ( 7 of 19)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 31 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 52 of 110)
117
Total Points Won
89
L
6-2 6-1 3-6 6-0 H2H
F
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Nicolas Jarry
80% ( 39 of 49)
1st Serve %
68% ( 49 of 72)
6
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 37 of 39)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 38 of 49)
70% ( 7 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
10% ( 5 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 72)
70
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 7-5 H2H
SF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Tommy Paul
66% ( 78 of 118)
1st Serve %
63% ( 55 of 88)
13
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
67% ( 52 of 78)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
53% ( 21 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
38% ( 45 of 118)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 30 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
103
W
6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve %
69% ( 71 of 103)
8
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69% ( 47 of 68)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 51 of 71)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 15 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
15% ( 2 of 13)
34% ( 35 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
105
Total Points Won
101
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Alexandre Muller
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve %
62% ( 46 of 74)
15
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 27 of 46)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 17 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 74)
75
Total Points Won
59
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Stefano Napolitano
61% ( 51 of 84)
1st Serve %
52% ( 42 of 81)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
48% ( 16 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 29 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 31 of 81)
86
Total Points Won
79
W
6-2 4-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
W
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Flavio Cobolli
Player
Nicolas Jarry
58% ( 53 of 91)
1st Serve %
62% ( 58 of 94)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
34% ( 31 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 40 of 94)
100
Total Points Won
85
L
6-3 3-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Marco Trungelliti
Player
Nicolas Jarry
62% ( 53 of 86)
1st Serve %
64% ( 42 of 66)
1
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 28 of 42)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 16 of 24)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
33% ( 28 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 22 of 66)
80
Total Points Won
72
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Player
Nicolas Jarry
77% ( 62 of 81)
1st Serve %
54% ( 37 of 68)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 18 of 31)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
35% ( 28 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
80
Total Points Won
69
L
6-4 7-5 H2H

Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
68% ( 59 of 87)
1st Serve %
52% ( 64 of 123)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 44 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 46 of 64)
71% ( 20 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
26% ( 23 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 52 of 123)
116
Total Points Won
94
W
7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Alexandre Muller
55% ( 65 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 52 of 87)
11
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 45 of 65)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
43% ( 23 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
14% ( 3 of 21)
43% ( 51 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 48 of 87)
116
Total Points Won
90
W
6-4 6-1 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Arthur Fils
63% ( 71 of 112)
1st Serve %
64% ( 64 of 100)
5
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 44 of 71)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
54% ( 22 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
60% ( 9 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
41% ( 46 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 49 of 100)
115
Total Points Won
97
W
6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
53% ( 37 of 70)
1st Serve %
60% ( 51 of 85)
4
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 35 of 85)
83
Total Points Won
72
L
6-2 2-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Fabio Fognini
45% ( 25 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 44 of 81)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 33 of 44)
70% ( 21 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 11 of 37)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 37 of 81)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Nicolas Jarry
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
52% ( 39 of 75)
5
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 15 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 32 of 75)
82
Total Points Won
65
L
6-2 7-6(6) H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Harold Mayot
53% ( 57 of 107)
1st Serve %
66% ( 59 of 89)
7
Aces
3
6
Double Faults
2
70% ( 40 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
56% ( 28 of 50)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
36% ( 39 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 89)
100
Total Points Won
96
W
3-6 7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
79
L
2-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Christopher O'Connell
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
71% ( 37 of 52)
8
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 22 of 37)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
45
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
75% ( 50 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 27 of 51)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 30 of 50)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 15 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 25 of 51)
67
Total Points Won
51
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

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